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What You Need To Know About Forex Signal System

by John Callingham

Prices in Forex markets are the most volatile of any trading instrument. They change farther and faster (on average) than stocks and bonds, though commodities can be pretty roller coaster, too. This presents non-professional investors with a dilemma: either sit by a computer monitor all day, looking for price movements in real time or potentially lose a whole lot of money. But there’s a way out of that dilemma. Use signal services.

Forex signals are buy and sell indicators based on technical analysis. Technical analysis uses historical price and volume data to statistically analyze trends. The goal is to establish, with a stated probability, the likelihood of future price movements.

A signal could be as simple as ‘Buy euros now at 1.1901′. Those signals are delivered in any number of ways, by email, SMS text message to a cell phone, IM message and so on. Some are no more than flashing text and/or icons on trading software. The software contains in-built algorithms that use the methods of technical analysis, combines it with current market data and generates a signal.

For example, one commonly used technical indicator is something called MACD (Moving Average Convergence/Divergence). Without going into details here, it uses the moving average - the change in an average price over time. A signal can be generated when the value of MACD crosses above (or below) a certain threshold. Buy when it moves above the line, sell when it falls below.

Some services offer more automation than others. Some let the trader leave standing orders to carry out signal recommendations. If a signal is triggered that suggests you buy euros at a certain price, the forex broker enters the order to do so right away.

Keep in mind, though, that Forex signals are just tools that by themselves cannot guarantee trading success. Such a trading instrument needs to be used wisely; it’s meant to facilitate trading activity, not to fully automate your trading technique. Automatic buying and selling all the time can result in losses for the trader.

You could accomplish the same thing by handing all of your investment capital to a forex broker and instructing him to do a good job. Sure, it might get you what you want. But it might not. And it certainly won’t give you any control over your trades.

For all that, signal services have their uses. They can continue to monitor prices while investors take breaks or get some sleep. They can simplify charts that seem confusing to newcomers. And they can compensate for little or no trading skill.

The cost of signal services can cost from as little as $50 to as much as a few hundred dollars a month. If you find yourself making more profitable trades because of it, then it’s probably worth the price. Only you can decide for sure.

Forex trading is not regulated. There are unscrupulous brokers who will sell promises for large sums of money. Their signals may or may not be worth the cost. Only you can decide.

Some risk management techniques are necessary, even if you don’t choose to use a signal provider service. For example, stop-loss orders and limit orders can minimize the damage to your account during downward trends, and ensure a level of profitability. Don’t risk your money by failing to manage it well.

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Thursday, September 4th, 2008 Currency Trading

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